Knowledge, Belief and Certitude

Cardinal Newman and Jury Verdicts: Reason, Belief, and Certitude

Knowledge, Belief and Time

In the conclusion of [7] Halpern and Moses expressed their interest in a logical system in which one could talk about knowledge and belief (and belief about knowledge, knowledge about belief and so on), We investigate such systems. In the first part of the paper knowledge and belief, without time, are considered. Common knowledge and common belief are defined and compared. A logical system and ...

Evidentials, Knowledge and Belief

The notion of evidence is mostly taken for granted in the study of evidentials. This paper reports on the initial stage of a research program that attempts to determine what properties are necessary for a proposition to count as ‘evidence for evidentials.’ The conclusion of this initial paper is that such evidence must be knowledge, on the basis of application of skeptical arguments, which can ...

Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude

Analyses of public policy regularly express certitude about the consequences of alternative policy choices. Yet policy predictions often are fragile, with conclusions resting on critical unsupported assumptions or leaps of logic. Then the certitude of policy analysis is not credible. I develop a typology of incredible analytical practices and gives illustrative cases. I call the...

Belief Revision and Knowledge Representation

Peter Gardenfors Lund University Cognitive Science Kungshuset S-222 22 Lund, Sweden E-malh Peter. [email protected] This paper is dedicated to the memory of Carlos Alchourron. The paper consists of two parts, where the first is an overview of selected topics in belief revision theory and the second presents some suggestions for future directions of research. The first, retrospective part beg...